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Bitcoin
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Affairs
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No. 146 · 20 Oct 2026
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MARKET SNAPSHOT
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BTC / USD
$81,436
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24H CHANGE
-1.0%
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ALL-TIME HIGH
$124,749
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FROM ATH
-34.7%
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Most side projects die as a conversation. Lovable helps you fast-forward to the validation phase. Describe the software you want, watch it come to life, and get it in front of customers this weekend. $5 off your first month
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French lawmakers advance 31% tax on crypto swaps into stablecoins
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France's National Assembly approved a budget amendment that would tax gains when investors swap crypto into stablecoins at the country's 31.4% capital-gains rate. The change would start on Jan. 1, 2027 if it survives the rest of the budget process, and critics say it could push activity toward DeFi and offshore venues.
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AI selloff and $111 Brent crude sour Asia risk appetite
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U.S. futures weakened as AI stocks came under pressure again, while South Korea's Elice plunged 30% on its market debut and Brent crude rose to about $111 as Middle East fighting persisted. AP said the mix is reviving inflation worries and raising the perceived chance of another Federal Reserve hike, a tougher setup for bitcoin and other risk assets.
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CFTC challenges CME standing in court fight over U.S. crypto perpetual futures
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The CFTC told a court that CME has not shown it is being harmed by the agency's pro-perpetuals stance, challenging the exchange operator's standing to sue. The clash matters because the CFTC's May approval of the first U.S. bitcoin perp opened the door to a domestic perpetual futures market that has mostly lived offshore.
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≡
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COMMENTARY
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BREAKING: JPMorgan Asset Management projects Bitcoin to beat US stocks, bonds and gold with 10% annualized returns over the next 10 to 15 years.
This also marks $BTC's FIRST appearance in JPMorgan's annual long term return forecasts.
52 reposts 40 replies 450 likes
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First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight at you, then they add you to their Long-Term Capital Markets Assumptions paper and predict you'll be the best-performing asset of the next decade.
510 reposts 91 replies 2.9K likes
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BREAKING🚨 @BlackRock just filed for another Bitcoin ETF. This one will be a "buffer" Bitcoin ETF which will means it will offer downside protection but investors will give up some upside to get that protection. Ticker will be $PBIT. https://t.co/302iMwn2fR
132 reposts 80 replies 1.3K likes
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$BTC and the U.S. Midterm Elections: Is History About to Repeat Itself?
According to @Alphractal data, Bitcoin is approaching the U.S. midterm elections on November 3, 2026, while $BTC is currently trading around $82,600.
Notably, during the previous two midterm election cycles in 2018 and 2022, Bitcoin experienced significant corrections before forming a bottom and entering a recovery phase in the following year.
In 2018, $BTC bottomed out toward the end of the year and recovered throughout 2019. Similarly, after the downturn in 2022, Bitcoin began a strong recovery cycle in 2023.
Could a similar cycle structure be emerging in 2026?
3 reposts 1 replies 24 likes
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Please listen to Dan Boneh (top 5 cryptographer alive today) who is known to be measured and judicious in his comments describe the probability that Bitcoin is able to transition to a post-quantum world.
Lots of opinions out there - be careful who you listen to. https://t.co/hKuEEuQDwU
80 reposts 22 replies 627 likes
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$BTC Bulls need to get a bounce going soon or the floor falls through.
This support has been tested many times now while the $83K+ region has been rejecting price. Both major levels in the short term.
Now caught in between the two, I assume a bigger move ignites when we see a convincing break of either.
6 reposts 21 replies 106 likes
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