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Bitcoin
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Affairs
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No. 099 Β· 3 Sept 2026
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MARKET SNAPSHOT
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BTC / USD
$78,865
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24H CHANGE
+2.0%
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ALL-TIME HIGH
$124,749
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FROM ATH
-36.8%
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Waller says hot August inflation could still force a September Fed hike
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In a September 3 speech, Fed Governor Christopher Waller said he would support holding rates if August inflation shows continued progress, but would consider a hike if the data comes in hot. That keeps the September 15-16 FOMC meeting highly data-dependent and preserves upside risk for yields and the dollar, a tough backdrop for Bitcoin.
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| Fed Rates Macro |
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ADP reports August hiring slowed sharply even as wage growth stayed firm
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ADP said private employers added 38,000 jobs in August, the slowest pace since January, while July was revised up slightly to 46,000. The report points to softer hiring ahead of Fridayβs payrolls, even as pay growth remained firm enough to complicate the Fedβs inflation fight.
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Bitcoin ETFs reverse course with $101 million inflow led by BlackRock
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U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs posted a combined $101.1 million net inflow on September 2, reversing the prior sessionβs $236.5 million outflow. BlackRockβs IBIT led creations with $115.4 million, while GBTC lost $56.2 million, showing institutional demand is still uneven but not broken.
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Bitcoin rebounds above $77,500 as Fed hike odds ease before payrolls
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Bitcoin traded back above $77,500 on September 3 after buyers defended the roughly $76,350 average cost basis of active investors, according to CoinDeskβs report citing Bitfinex analysts. The rebound came as September hike odds eased ahead of Fridayβs U.S. payrolls, keeping macro expectations firmly in control of near-term BTC direction.
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Jobless claims edge up but remain low ahead of Friday payrolls
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New U.S. jobless claims rose to 206,000 last week from a revised 204,000, but layoffs remain historically low. The print keeps the labor market from signaling a clear downturn one day before the August payrolls report, limiting relief for rate-sensitive assets.
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COMMENTARY
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JUST IN: Standard Chartered Bank becomes first Global Systemically Important Bank to launch institutional Bitcoin trading in the UAE π¦πͺ https://t.co/yeOMtcO7bo
110 reposts 36 replies 605 likes
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BREAKING: Gold futures surge above $4,500/oz as inflation expectations mount amid rapidly rising oil prices.
Gold has now added +$1 trillion in market cap today. https://t.co/QE7sNqwGMV
251 reposts 91 replies 2.0K likes
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A record 7.5M Bitcoin held by long-term holders was underwater at $58,000
If you waited for lower, I have one message:
THE BOTTOM ALREADY CAME AND LEFT https://t.co/AhZOYZj3nY
6 reposts 18 replies 118 likes
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bitcoin:native long-term holders are still selling.
Theyβve reduced their supply for 3 straight days, which means older holders are still taking coins off the table.
Long-term holders selling into strength usually adds pressure.
If this selling keeps going, BTC could face more pressure from here.
6 reposts 40 replies 116 likes
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BREAKING: πΊπΈ The U.S. Treasury is set to buy back $12,500,000,000 of its own debt tomorrow.
That's more than SIX times their normal operation size.
Extremely bullish for risk assets like Bitcoin. https://t.co/Vhii7xS7Ys
325 reposts 109 replies 2.0K likes
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bitcoin:native is having a bearish retest here.
Spot demand is weak, as Coinbase Premium has flipped negative.
I think this is the level from where Bitcoin will get rejected.
This pattern will invalidate if BTC manages a 4H close above $78,500. https://t.co/26771Xqjjb
5 reposts 53 replies 122 likes
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